Development a Methodology for Local Level Climate Risk Management- A Case Study for Pakistan
For decision makers to receive relevant information, the framework should be able to relate the adaptation issue to those who will do the planning. Given such uncertainty in regional-scale climate projections, as well as small increments expected over the next 15 to 20 years, the question arises as to whether climate change will have a discernible impact, especially when compared with rapid human-induced changes, such as deforestation and land use-induced flooding in 2010. Put another way, how much climate change has to happen to be of practical significance (i.e. beyond what can be addressed by autonomous adaptation)? The answer has a significant bearing on how climate risk information might be used for anticipatory adaptation.
The products so far delivered by scientific communities in Pakistan had no influence on the policy process, except some mention in climate-related documents in very broad terms. Products will remain of limited value to policy makers and planners until skillful forecasts of regional climate anomalies become available. Were perfect forecasts issued, it is currently unclear how the development community might assimilate this information. The development community also needs to have mechanisms that make use of climate information.